by Jason Bodner
November 11, 2025
Before the current TSA backlog, during any normal business day there are 12,000 to 14,000-commercial planes in the sky at any given moment, and more than 20,000-flights, if you include military, private, and cargo planes, carrying a combined 3.2-million people. Despite that seemingly crowded sky above us, the global all-accident rate for commercial aviation in 2024 was just 1.13 accidents per million flights – or about one accident for every 880,000 flights. In other words, 99.99+% of all flights are accident free.
But not all flights are smooth. If I were the captain of a flight, I’d say: “Please remain seated and keep your seat-belt fastened. We’re likely to hit turbulence at any time, as we usually suffer bumpy patches.”
Investing is like any other journey: The route from point A to point B is rarely a straight line. Twists and turns make life interesting, but they also make some investors impatient and anxious. Right now, despite expecting clear skies for a historically strong seasonal month, early November is encountering turbulence.
Under the surface, there is wicked volatility going on. Proof? Let’s begin with the Big Money Index (BMI), the MoneyFlows.com indicator of unusually large money flows. This is a 25-day moving average of all heavy inflows and outflows. Dipping below 54%, it is sinking – and has been since mid-September.
Most indexes hit new highs recently, but I don’t think that surge will continue, short-term. If I were a doom-and-gloom pessimist, I could scare you by saying the most obvious analog to today’s situation was in January of 2020, when the same divergence pattern led to an historic drop – CoVID-induced, of course.
The post 11-11-25: Turbulence Strikes During Most Flights…and in Most Market Months appeared first on Navellier.
