by Jason Bodner
March 18, 2025
If I were to use “click bait,” I could headline this piece, “WHY THE MARKET IS COLLAPSING — AND THE EXACT DAY IT WILL END, from the man who called the COVID crash low to the day.”
OK, I’m not that big on specific predictions, but I always let the data steer the way, and sometimes I get lucky. Today, I’ll use the same method that allowed me to call the precise market bottom of 2020’s COVID crash – almost exactly five years ago – to identify when I think this correction will end.
Five years ago, on March 30th, 2020, I recorded a podcast interview – of necessity from my backyard during the lock-down during COVID-19. I said that the market bottom was already in, based on my data. It was a very unpopular opinion then. Pessimism was at an all-time high. No one knew the future. Neither did I, but I looked at the data to find a possible scenario to buy stocks, and my scenario was bang-on accurate. A month before that interview, on February 28th 2020, I studied my data to predict a market low. It was published March 1st under the title “Die Cry.” Here’s what I wrote:
Graphs are for illustrative and discussion purposes only. Please read important disclosures at the end of this commentary.
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